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Will the US enter recession in 2026?

28%
YES probability
-6.0% 24h
Volume
$3.32M
Liquidity
$597.6K

Price history

Order book

YES asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
29¢364106
30¢389117
31¢915284
32¢474152
33¢803265
34¢957325
NO asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
73¢354258
74¢810599
75¢664498
76¢216164
77¢242186
78¢475371

Recent trades

SIDEPRICESIZETIME
yes29¢2563s
yes27¢7610s
yes27¢50917s
no28¢36924s
yes30¢22531s
no27¢37138s
no27¢30045s
yes27¢24552s
no29¢34659s
yes27¢36066s

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs by the end date as reported by at least two of the following primary sources: Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or the official body responsible for the outcome. Otherwise resolves NO. Disputes are escalated to the ITRADE oracle committee.