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Will OpenAI release GPT-6 in 2026?

49%
YES probability
7.0% 24h
Volume
$1.81M
Liquidity
$325.8K

Price history

Order book

YES asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
50¢958479
51¢431220
52¢799415
53¢421223
54¢903488
55¢997548
NO asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
52¢616320
53¢926491
54¢918496
55¢262144
56¢851477
57¢524299

Recent trades

SIDEPRICESIZETIME
yes47¢4803s
yes48¢10710s
yes50¢18117s
yes51¢32224s
no50¢8431s
yes50¢35038s
yes48¢40345s
yes48¢14652s
no49¢48859s
yes47¢20366s

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs by the end date as reported by at least two of the following primary sources: Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or the official body responsible for the outcome. Otherwise resolves NO. Disputes are escalated to the ITRADE oracle committee.