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Will the Fed cut rates at the July 2026 meeting?

58%
YES probability
4.0% 24h
Volume
$5.12M
Liquidity
$921.6K

Price history

Order book

YES asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
59¢789466
60¢661397
61¢764466
62¢780484
63¢994626
64¢548351
NO asks
PRICESIZETOTAL
43¢612263
44¢956421
45¢489220
46¢776357
47¢807379
48¢955458

Recent trades

SIDEPRICESIZETIME
no57¢2073s
yes56¢52310s
yes58¢39417s
yes59¢42324s
yes58¢43731s
no58¢49438s
no58¢23445s
no58¢19752s
yes57¢34159s
no56¢24466s

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs by the end date as reported by at least two of the following primary sources: Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, or the official body responsible for the outcome. Otherwise resolves NO. Disputes are escalated to the ITRADE oracle committee.